TRADING OPEN

    Israeli Legislative Election: 4th Place

    Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Israeli government, including the Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).

    Resolves Oct 27, 2026
    Total Volume

    $51.5K

    +$763 (24h)

    Active Markets

    17

    Across 2 platforms

    Frontrunner

    31¢

    Shas

    Biggest Mover 24h

    +21¢

    Shas

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    17 markets
    #
    131¢33¢18¢
    $608+$101 24h
    +21¢
    5¢ if
    231¢31¢28¢
    $3.5K+$275 24h
    -2¢—
    316¢18¢10¢
    $976+$355 24h
    +4¢
    3¢ if
    413¢14¢12¢
    $3.0K
    -21¢—
    58¢8¢17¢
    $7.5K+$31 24h
    -8¢
    2¢
    65¢3¢8¢
    $2.9K
    -8¢—
    72¢1¢4¢
    $408
    -2¢—
    81¢—1¢
    $2.4K
    -1¢—
    91¢0¢2¢
    $3.2K
    —
    1¢
    101¢0¢1¢
    $5.0K
    -1¢—
    111¢1¢—
    $629
    -2¢—
    121¢1¢—
    $605
    ——
    131¢0¢1¢
    $2.8K
    -1¢—
    141¢1¢—
    $301
    ——
    151¢—1¢
    $2.5K
    ——
    160¢0¢1¢
    $11.9K
    ——
    170¢0¢1¢
    $3.1K
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Shas
    31%
    31¢+21¢
    2The Democrats
    31%
    31¢-2¢
    3Joint List (Hadash–Ta'al–Balad)
    16%
    16¢+4¢
    4Otzma Yehudit
    13%
    13¢-21¢
    5Together
    8¢-8¢
    6Yisrael Beiteinu
    5¢-8¢
    7United Torah Judaism
    2¢-2¢
    8The Reservists and the Economic Party
    1¢—
    9Yashar
    1¢-1¢
    10Ra'am
    1¢-1¢
    11Blue and White
    0¢—
    12Likud
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Oct 27, 2026

    ~7 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    17
    Platforms
    2
    Total Volume
    $51.5K

    Whale Activity

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