Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

    Israel military action against Lebanon on...? Live odds across 28 markets: September 6 at 98¢. Resolves Oct 1, 2026. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Oct 1, 2026

    TRADING OPEN
    8s

    Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

    Resolves Oct 1, 2026
    Total Volume

    $306.0K

    +$114.8K (24h)

    Active Markets

    28

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    98¢

    September 6

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -52¢

    September 9

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    28 markets · Showing 28
    #
    1
    September 6
    		98¢98¢
    $18.2K+$1.1K 24h
    		——
    2
    September 4📈 Trending
    		97¢97¢
    $622+$128 24h
    		+7¢—
    3
    September 7📈 Trending
    		74¢74¢
    $10.4K+$10.4K 24h
    		-18¢—
    4
    September 16
    		73¢73¢
    $9.4K+$60 24h
    		-18¢—
    5
    September 14
    		72¢72¢
    $34.0K+$17 24h
    		-20¢—
    6
    September 3
    		63¢63¢
    $7.6K
    		-31¢—
    7
    September 8📈 Trending
    		53¢53¢
    $41.6K+$41.6K 24h
    		-40¢—
    8
    September 29
    		52¢52¢
    $0
    		-39¢—
    9
    September 15
    		51¢51¢
    $0
    		-41¢—
    10
    September 25
    		51¢51¢
    $0
    		-41¢—
    11
    September 17
    		51¢51¢
    $0
    		-42¢—
    12
    September 13
    		51¢51¢
    $10.7K
    		-35¢—
    13
    September 18
    		51¢51¢
    $0
    		-42¢—
    14
    September 10
    		50¢50¢
    $13.1K
    		-42¢—
    15
    September 23
    		50¢50¢
    $0
    		-41¢—
    16
    September 28
    		50¢50¢
    $0
    		-41¢—
    17
    September 12📈 Trending
    		49¢49¢
    $28.7K+$28.7K 24h
    		-40¢—
    18
    September 27
    		49¢49¢
    $0
    		-44¢—
    19
    September 21
    		49¢49¢
    $0
    		-44¢—
    20
    September 24
    		49¢49¢
    $0
    		-43¢—
    21
    September 11
    		49¢49¢
    $0
    		-42¢—
    22
    September 22
    		49¢49¢
    $0
    		-42¢—
    23
    September 20
    		48¢48¢
    $8.2K
    		-44¢—
    24
    September 26
    		48¢48¢
    $35.7K
    		-44¢—
    25
    September 30
    		47¢47¢
    $29.7K
    		-45¢—
    26
    September 5📈 Trending
    		46¢46¢
    $329+$242 24h
    		-43¢—
    27
    September 19
    		43¢43¢
    $25.3K
    		-48¢—
    28
    September 9📈 Trending
    		41¢41¢
    $32.4K+$32.4K 24h
    		-52¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1September 6
    98%
    98¢—
    2September 4
    97%
    97¢+7¢
    3September 7
    74%
    74¢-18¢
    4September 16
    73%
    73¢-18¢
    5September 14
    72%
    72¢-20¢
    6September 3
    63%
    63¢-31¢
    7September 8
    53%
    53¢-40¢
    8September 29
    52%
    52¢-39¢
    9September 15
    51%
    51¢-41¢
    10September 25
    51%
    51¢-41¢
    11September 17
    51%
    51¢-42¢
    12September 13
    51%
    51¢-35¢
    13September 18
    51%
    51¢-42¢
    14September 10
    50%
    50¢-42¢
    15September 23
    50%
    50¢-41¢
    16September 28
    50%
    50¢-41¢
    17September 12
    49%
    49¢-40¢
    18September 27
    49%
    49¢-44¢
    19September 21
    49%
    49¢-44¢
    20September 24
    49%
    49¢-43¢
    21September 11
    49%
    49¢-42¢
    22September 22
    49%
    49¢-42¢
    23September 20
    48%
    48¢-44¢
    24September 26
    48%
    48¢-44¢
    25September 30
    47%
    47¢-45¢
    26September 5
    46%
    46¢-43¢
    27September 19
    43%
    43¢-48¢
    28September 9
    41%
    41¢-52¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Oct 1, 2026

    ~25 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    28
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $306.0K

    Whale Activity

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