TRADING OPEN

    IL-16 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $18.0K

    +$211 (24h)

    Active Markets

    8

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    28¢

    Republican 15-20%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -12¢

    Republican 30%+

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    8 markets
    #
    1
    Republican 15-20%
    		28¢28¢
    $4.4K
    		-4¢—
    2
    Republican 20-25% Hot
    		27¢27¢
    $4.4K+$106 24h
    		+1¢—
    3
    Republican 10-15%
    		24¢24¢
    $2.9K+$90 24h
    		+3¢—
    4
    Republican 5-10%
    		20¢20¢
    $2.4K+$15 24h
    		-2¢—
    5
    Republican 30%+ Hot
    		6¢6¢
    $961
    		-12¢—
    6
    Republican 25-30% Hot
    		4¢4¢
    $876
    		-3¢—
    7
    Republican 0-5%📈 Trending
    		1¢1¢
    $1.4K
    		-1¢—
    8
    Democrat Wins Hot
    		0¢0¢
    $672
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Republican 15-20%
    28%
    28¢-4¢
    2Republican 20-25%
    27%
    27¢+1¢
    3Republican 10-15%
    24%
    24¢+3¢
    4Republican 5-10%
    20%
    20¢-2¢
    5Republican 30%+
    6¢-12¢
    6Republican 25-30%
    4¢-3¢
    7Republican 0-5%
    1¢-1¢
    8Democrat Wins
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    8
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $18.0K

    Whale Activity

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