TRADING OPEN

    IL-15 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $20.1K

    +$1.6K (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    37¢

    Republican 30-35%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    +12¢

    Republican 30-35%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    1
    Republican 30-35%
    		37¢37¢
    $10.8K+$533 24h
    		+12¢—
    2
    Republican 25-30%
    		30¢30¢
    $2.0K+$178 24h
    		-2¢—
    3
    Republican 35-40%
    		19¢19¢
    $2.7K+$243 24h
    		-2¢—
    4
    Republican 20-25%
    		13¢13¢
    $1.1K+$188 24h
    		-2¢—
    5
    Republican 0-10%
    		7¢7¢
    $753+$94 24h
    		-5¢—
    6
    Republican 45-50%
    		7¢7¢
    $528+$60 24h
    		-6¢—
    7
    Republican 40-45%
    		4¢4¢
    $891+$93 24h
    		-4¢—
    8
    Republican 50%+
    		4¢4¢
    $392+$93 24h
    		-4¢—
    9
    Republican 10-20%
    		3¢3¢
    $367+$68 24h
    		-3¢—
    10
    Democrat Wins
    		3¢3¢
    $581+$93 24h
    		-6¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Republican 30-35%
    37%
    37¢+12¢
    2Republican 25-30%
    30%
    30¢-2¢
    3Republican 35-40%
    19%
    19¢-2¢
    4Republican 20-25%
    13%
    13¢-2¢
    5Republican 0-10%
    7¢-5¢
    6Republican 45-50%
    7¢-6¢
    7Republican 40-45%
    4¢-4¢
    8Republican 50%+
    4¢-4¢
    9Republican 10-20%
    3¢-3¢
    10Democrat Wins
    3¢-6¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $20.1K

    Whale Activity

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