TRADING OPEN

    IL-15 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $18.2K

    +$36 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    33¢

    Republican 25-30%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    +7¢

    Republican 0-10%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    1
    Republican 25-30%
    		33¢33¢
    $1.3K+$36 24h
    		-1¢—
    2
    Republican 30-35%
    		30¢30¢
    $10.1K
    		+3¢—
    3
    Republican 20-25%
    		15¢15¢
    $1.1K
    		-1¢—
    4
    Republican 35-40%
    		14¢14¢
    $2.5K
    		-1¢—
    5
    Republican 0-10%
    		11¢11¢
    $733
    		+7¢—
    6
    Republican 45-50%
    		6¢6¢
    $444
    		-3¢—
    7
    Republican 10-20%
    		5¢5¢
    $367
    		-2¢—
    8
    Republican 50%+
    		4¢4¢
    $392
    		-4¢—
    9
    Republican 40-45%
    		4¢4¢
    $891
    		-4¢—
    10
    Democrat Wins
    		2¢2¢
    $363
    		-2¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Republican 25-30%
    33%
    33¢-1¢
    2Republican 30-35%
    30%
    30¢+3¢
    3Republican 20-25%
    15%
    15¢-1¢
    4Republican 35-40%
    14%
    14¢-1¢
    5Republican 0-10%
    11¢+7¢
    6Republican 45-50%
    6¢-3¢
    7Republican 10-20%
    5¢-2¢
    8Republican 50%+
    4¢-4¢
    9Republican 40-45%
    4¢-4¢
    10Democrat Wins
    2¢-2¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~19 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $18.2K

    Whale Activity

    Loading...