TRADING OPEN

    IL-14 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $14.0K

    +$164 (24h)

    Active Markets

    9

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    33¢

    Democrat 25-30%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -4¢

    Democrat 30-35%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    9 markets
    #
    1
    Democrat 25-30%
    		33¢33¢
    $2.5K+$144 24h
    		——
    2
    Democrat 20-25%
    		28¢28¢
    $4.1K+$20 24h
    		+1¢—
    3
    Democrat 15-20%
    		14¢14¢
    $1.4K
    		-1¢—
    4
    Democrat 10-15%
    		8¢8¢
    $1.0K
    		-3¢—
    5
    Democrat 5-10%
    		5¢5¢
    $794
    		-3¢—
    6
    Democrat 30-35%
    		4¢4¢
    $2.4K
    		-4¢—
    7
    Democrat 35%+
    		1¢1¢
    $788
    		——
    8
    Democrat 0-5%
    		0¢0¢
    $584
    		——
    9
    Republican Wins
    		0¢0¢
    $397
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Democrat 25-30%
    33%
    33¢—
    2Democrat 20-25%
    28%
    28¢+1¢
    3Democrat 15-20%
    14%
    14¢-1¢
    4Democrat 10-15%
    8¢-3¢
    5Democrat 5-10%
    5¢-3¢
    6Democrat 30-35%
    4¢-4¢
    7Democrat 35%+
    1¢—
    8Democrat 0-5%
    0¢—
    9Republican Wins
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~21 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    9
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $14.0K

    Whale Activity

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