TRADING OPEN

    IL-08 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $18.6K

    +$40 (24h)

    Active Markets

    9

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    33¢

    Democrat 20-25%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -11¢

    Democrat 35%+

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    9 markets
    #
    1
    Democrat 20-25%
    		33¢33¢
    $4.3K+$0 24h
    		-2¢—
    2
    Democrat 25-30%
    		28¢28¢
    $3.1K+$39 24h
    		-4¢—
    3
    Democrat 15-20%📈 Trending
    		16¢16¢
    $4.6K
    		-2¢—
    4
    Democrat 35%+
    		10¢10¢
    $814
    		-11¢—
    5
    Democrat 5-10%
    		5¢5¢
    $2.0K
    		-3¢—
    6
    Democrat 10-15%
    		5¢5¢
    $1.5K
    		-5¢—
    7
    Republican Wins📈 Trending
    		4¢4¢
    $924
    		-3¢—
    8
    Democrat 30-35%
    		3¢3¢
    $829
    		-3¢—
    9
    Democrat 0-5%
    		1¢1¢
    $496
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Democrat 20-25%
    33%
    33¢-2¢
    2Democrat 25-30%
    28%
    28¢-4¢
    3Democrat 15-20%
    16%
    16¢-2¢
    4Democrat 35%+
    10¢-11¢
    5Democrat 5-10%
    5¢-3¢
    6Democrat 10-15%
    5¢-5¢
    7Republican Wins
    4¢-3¢
    8Democrat 30-35%
    3¢-3¢
    9Democrat 0-5%
    1¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    9
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $18.6K

    Whale Activity

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