TRADING OPEN

    IL-05 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $20.4K

    +$0 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    33¢

    Democrat 50-55%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -9¢

    Democrat 50-55%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    133¢33¢
    $3.5K
    -9¢—
    224¢24¢
    $4.2K
    -4¢—
    313¢13¢
    $4.6K
    -2¢—
    47¢7¢
    $1.7K
    -2¢—
    56¢6¢
    $1.2K
    -2¢—
    63¢3¢
    $1.2K
    -4¢—
    72¢2¢
    $690
    -1¢—
    82¢2¢
    $1.3K
    -1¢—
    90¢0¢
    $1.4K
    ——
    100¢0¢
    $589
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Democrat 50-55%
    33%
    33¢-9¢
    2Democrat 45-50%
    24%
    24¢-4¢
    3Democrat 40-45%
    13%
    13¢-2¢
    4Democrat 55-60%
    7¢-2¢
    5Democrat 35-40%
    6¢-2¢
    6Democrat 30-35%
    3¢-4¢
    7Democrat 60%+
    2¢-1¢
    8Democrat 20-30%
    2¢-1¢
    9Democrat 0-20%
    0¢—
    10Republican Wins
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~12 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $20.4K

    Whale Activity

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