TRADING OPEN

    IL-04 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $18.1K

    +$120 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    31¢

    Democrat 35-40%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    +7¢

    Democrat 0-15%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    1
    Democrat 35-40% Hot
    		31¢31¢
    $5.5K+$40 24h
    		+1¢—
    2
    Democrat 30-35%📈 Trending
    		24¢24¢
    $3.7K+$15 24h
    		+2¢—
    3
    Democrat 40-45%📈 Trending
    		21¢21¢
    $3.4K+$60 24h
    		-3¢—
    4
    Democrat 0-15%
    		8¢8¢
    $1.3K+$5 24h
    		+7¢—
    5
    Democrat 45-50%
    		7¢7¢
    $765
    		-5¢—
    6
    Democrat 55%+
    		6¢6¢
    $751
    		-4¢—
    7
    Democrat 25-30%
    		5¢5¢
    $860
    		-2¢—
    8
    Democrat 50-55%
    		4¢4¢
    $639
    		-4¢—
    9
    Democrat 15-25%
    		4¢4¢
    $762
    		-6¢—
    10
    Republican Wins
    		0¢0¢
    $441
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Democrat 35-40%
    31%
    31¢+1¢
    2Democrat 30-35%
    24%
    24¢+2¢
    3Democrat 40-45%
    21%
    21¢-3¢
    4Democrat 0-15%
    8¢+7¢
    5Democrat 45-50%
    7¢-5¢
    6Democrat 55%+
    6¢-4¢
    7Democrat 25-30%
    5¢-2¢
    8Democrat 50-55%
    4¢-4¢
    9Democrat 15-25%
    4¢-6¢
    10Republican Wins
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $18.1K

    Whale Activity

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