TRADING OPEN

    IL-03 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $19.0K

    +$578 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    26¢

    Democrat 40-45%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -10¢

    Democrat 40-45%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    1
    Democrat 40-45%
    		26¢26¢
    $4.4K+$135 24h
    		-10¢—
    2
    Democrat 35-40%
    		24¢24¢
    $4.9K+$237 24h
    		-1¢—
    3
    Democrat 45-50%
    		23¢23¢
    $3.4K+$67 24h
    		+1¢—
    4
    Democrat 50-55%
    		18¢18¢
    $2.2K+$20 24h
    		——
    5
    Democrat 20-30%
    		8¢8¢
    $882+$20 24h
    		-3¢—
    6
    Democrat 30-35%
    		4¢4¢
    $821+$20 24h
    		-3¢—
    7
    Democrat 55-60%
    		3¢3¢
    $490+$20 24h
    		-3¢—
    8
    Democrat 0-20%
    		1¢1¢
    $546+$20 24h
    		——
    9
    Republican Wins
    		1¢1¢
    $692+$20 24h
    		——
    10
    Democrat 60%+
    		0¢0¢
    $672+$20 24h
    		-1¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Democrat 40-45%
    26%
    26¢-10¢
    2Democrat 35-40%
    24%
    24¢-1¢
    3Democrat 45-50%
    23%
    23¢+1¢
    4Democrat 50-55%
    18%
    18¢—
    5Democrat 20-30%
    8¢-3¢
    6Democrat 30-35%
    4¢-3¢
    7Democrat 55-60%
    3¢-3¢
    8Democrat 0-20%
    1¢—
    9Republican Wins
    1¢—
    10Democrat 60%+
    0¢-1¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~20 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $19.0K

    Whale Activity

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