TRADING OPEN

    IL-02 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $15.0K

    +$271 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    30¢

    Democrat 35-40%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -8¢

    Democrat 50-55%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    1
    Democrat 35-40%📈 Trending
    		30¢30¢
    $3.1K+$19 24h
    		——
    2
    Democrat 45-50%
    		26¢26¢
    $1.6K+$79 24h
    		-1¢—
    3
    Democrat 40-45%
    		23¢23¢
    $5.0K+$29 24h
    		-6¢—
    4
    Democrat 30-35%
    		21¢21¢
    $789+$19 24h
    		+6¢—
    5
    Democrat 0-15%
    		3¢3¢
    $801+$29 24h
    		-3¢—
    6
    Democrat 25-30%
    		2¢2¢
    $950+$19 24h
    		-2¢—
    7
    Democrat 50-55%
    		2¢2¢
    $656+$19 24h
    		-8¢—
    8
    Democrat 55%+
    		1¢1¢
    $936+$19 24h
    		-1¢—
    9
    Democrat 15-25%
    		1¢1¢
    $746+$19 24h
    		——
    10
    Republican Wins
    		0¢0¢
    $570+$19 24h
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Democrat 35-40%
    30%
    30¢—
    2Democrat 45-50%
    26%
    26¢-1¢
    3Democrat 40-45%
    23%
    23¢-6¢
    4Democrat 30-35%
    21%
    21¢+6¢
    5Democrat 0-15%
    3¢-3¢
    6Democrat 25-30%
    2¢-2¢
    7Democrat 50-55%
    2¢-8¢
    8Democrat 55%+
    1¢-1¢
    9Democrat 15-25%
    1¢—
    10Republican Wins
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $15.0K

    Whale Activity

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