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    IA-04 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $19.9K

    +$416 (24h)

    Active Markets

    9

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    27¢

    Republican 20-25%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -11¢

    Republican 25-30%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    9 markets
    #
    127¢27¢
    $6.0K+$396 24h
    -5¢—
    224¢24¢
    $3.5K+$20 24h
    -1¢—
    324¢24¢
    $4.8K
    -1¢—
    49¢9¢
    $3.6K
    -11¢—
    55¢5¢
    $413
    ——
    65¢5¢
    $427
    -6¢—
    75¢5¢
    $436
    -1¢—
    84¢4¢
    $258
    -6¢—
    92¢2¢
    $405
    -1¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Republican 20-25%
    27%
    27¢-5¢
    2Republican 10-15%
    24%
    24¢-1¢
    3Republican 15-20%
    24%
    24¢-1¢
    4Republican 25-30%
    9¢-11¢
    5Republican 5-10%
    5¢—
    6Republican 35%+
    5¢-6¢
    7Republican 30-35%
    5¢-1¢
    8Republican 0-5%
    4¢-6¢
    9Democrat Wins
    2¢-1¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    9
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $19.9K

    Whale Activity

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