TRADING OPEN

    IA-03 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $19.1K

    +$348 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    20¢

    Democrat 6-9%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -6¢

    Republican 0-3%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    120¢20¢
    $6.1K
    +2¢—
    220¢20¢
    $2.1K
    +1¢—
    317¢17¢
    $2.4K
    -2¢—
    414¢14¢
    $418+$120 24h
    +5¢—
    513¢13¢
    $1.4K+$137 24h
    +2¢—
    611¢11¢
    $1.5K+$40 24h
    -1¢—
    76¢6¢
    $2.9K
    -5¢—
    85¢5¢
    $786
    ——
    94¢4¢
    $768
    -6¢—
    103¢3¢
    $758+$51 24h
    +2¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Democrat 6-9%
    20%
    20¢+2¢
    2Democrat 3-6%
    20%
    20¢+1¢
    3Democrat 9-12%
    17%
    17¢-2¢
    4Democrat 15-18%
    14%
    14¢+5¢
    5Democrat 12-15%
    13%
    13¢+2¢
    6Republican 3-6%
    11¢-1¢
    7Democrat 0-3%
    6¢-5¢
    8Republican 6%+
    5¢—
    9Republican 0-3%
    4¢-6¢
    10Democrat 18%+
    3¢+2¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $19.1K

    Whale Activity

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