TRADING OPEN

    IA-02 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $16.3K

    +$0 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    18¢

    Democrat 3-6%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -6¢

    Democrat 0-3%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    118¢18¢
    $3.8K
    ——
    216¢16¢
    $1.9K
    -1¢—
    314¢14¢
    $2.5K
    ——
    414¢14¢
    $3.2K
    -6¢—
    512¢12¢
    $1.3K
    -1¢—
    69¢9¢
    $557
    -1¢—
    76¢6¢
    $1.3K
    -2¢—
    85¢5¢
    $502
    -4¢—
    93¢3¢
    $921
    -2¢—
    100¢0¢
    $400
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Democrat 3-6%
    18%
    18¢—
    2Republican 0-3%
    16%
    16¢-1¢
    3Republican 6-9%
    14%
    14¢—
    4Democrat 0-3%
    14%
    14¢-6¢
    5Republican 3-6%
    12%
    12¢-1¢
    6Democrat 6-9%
    9¢-1¢
    7Democrat 9-12%
    6¢-2¢
    8Democrat 12%+
    5¢-4¢
    9Republican 9-12%
    3¢-2¢
    10Republican 12%+
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $16.3K

    Whale Activity

    Loading...