TRADING OPEN

    IA-01 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $15.1K

    +$20 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    23¢

    Democrat 12-15%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -9¢

    Republican 3-6%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    123¢23¢
    $403
    +1¢—
    218¢18¢
    $1.3K
    -2¢—
    317¢17¢
    $3.2K
    -3¢—
    414¢14¢
    $368+$20 24h
    +5¢—
    513¢13¢
    $3.3K
    -2¢—
    612¢12¢
    $1.7K
    ——
    710¢10¢
    $2.3K
    -3¢—
    84¢4¢
    $968
    -9¢—
    94¢4¢
    $701
    -3¢—
    101¢1¢
    $902
    -1¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Democrat 12-15%
    23%
    23¢+1¢
    2Democrat 6-9%
    18%
    18¢-2¢
    3Democrat 9-12%
    17%
    17¢-3¢
    4Democrat 15-18%
    14%
    14¢+5¢
    5Democrat 3-6%
    13%
    13¢-2¢
    6Democrat 0-3%
    12%
    12¢—
    7Republican 0-3%
    10¢-3¢
    8Republican 3-6%
    4¢-9¢
    9Democrat 18%+
    4¢-3¢
    10Republican 6%+
    1¢-1¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $15.1K

    Whale Activity

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