Hsinchu County Magistrate Election Winner

    Cheng Chao-fang leads by 21 pts · 2 candidates at 5%+

    1. Cheng Chao-fang#160%
    2. Hsu Hsin-ying#239%
    3. Chu Ting-yu#31%
    Resolves
    Nov 28, 2026
    Volume
    $52.4K
    24h
    $280
    Liquidity
    $87.4K
    Candidates
    5
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2 venues · 5 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Cheng Chao-fang60%
    • Hsu Hsin-ying39%
    • Chu Ting-yu1%
    • Chen Chien-hsien1%
    • Lin Szu-ming<1%
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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every candidate, every venue

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Cheng Chao-fang$24.2K vol60%▼ 1kalshi63¢65¢ after fees
    Hsu Hsin-ying$26.0K vol39%—kalshi40¢42¢ after fees
    Chu Ting-yu$0 vol1%▼ 1kalshi2¢3¢ after fees
    Chen Chien-hsien$895 vol1%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢1¢ after fees
    Lin Szu-ming$1.3K vol<1%——

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Cheng Chao-fang2¢buy kalshi
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Kalshi
    • Consensus

    Same candidate, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Cheng Chao-fang wins the 2026 Hsinchu County magistrate election, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, th…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Sat, November 28, 2026
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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