How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by September 30?

    How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by September 30? Live odds across 6 markets: 6.5+ at 99¢. Resolves Oct 4, 2026. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Oct 4, 2026

    • 7.0+: Yes 49¢ (polymarket)
    • 8.0+: Yes 10¢ (polymarket)
    • 6.5+: Yes 99¢ (polymarket)
    • 7.5+: Yes 20¢ (polymarket)
    • 8.5+: Yes 2¢ (polymarket)
    • 9.0+: Yes 1¢ (polymarket)
    TRADING OPEN
    8s

    How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by September 30?

    Resolves Oct 4, 2026
    Total Volume

    $12.4K

    +$243 (24h)

    Active Markets

    6

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    99¢

    6.5+

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -3¢

    7.5+

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    6 markets · Showing 6
    #
    1
    —
    6.5+📈 Trending
    		99¢99¢
    $2.3K+$50 24h
    		——
    2
    —
    7.0+
    		49¢49¢
    $2.8K+$100 24h
    		-2¢—
    3
    —
    7.5+
    		20¢20¢
    $2.3K
    		-3¢—
    4
    —
    8.0+
    		10¢10¢
    $4.2K+$93 24h
    		-2¢—
    5
    —
    8.5+
    		2¢2¢
    $412
    		——
    6
    —
    9.0+
    		1¢1¢
    $326
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    16.5+
    99%
    99¢—
    27.0+
    49%
    49¢-2¢
    37.5+
    20%
    20¢-3¢
    48.0+
    10¢-2¢
    58.5+
    2¢—
    69.0+
    1¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Oct 4, 2026

    ~20 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    6
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $12.4K

    Whale Activity

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