How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide before Oct 1, 2026?

    How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide before Oct 1, 2026? Live odds across 13 markets: 6.8+ at 78¢. Resolves Oct 1, 2026. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Oct 1, 2026

    • 7.7+: Yes 10¢ (kalshi)
    • 7.4+: Yes 27¢ (kalshi)
    • 7.0+: Yes 57¢ (kalshi)
    • 7.2+: Yes 43¢ (kalshi)
    • 7.9+: Yes 8¢ (kalshi)
    • 6.8+: Yes 78¢ (kalshi)
    • 7.6+: Yes 13¢ (kalshi)
    • 7.1+: Yes 50¢ (kalshi)
    • 8.0+: Yes 5¢ (kalshi)
    • 7.5+: Yes 16¢ (kalshi)
    • 6.9+: Yes 74¢ (kalshi)
    • 7.3+: Yes 31¢ (kalshi)
    TRADING OPEN
    8s

    How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide before Oct 1, 2026?

    Resolves Oct 1, 2026
    Total Volume

    $9.8K

    +$0 (24h)

    Active Markets

    13

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    78¢

    6.8+

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -11¢

    6.8+

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    13 markets · Showing 13
    #
    1
    6.8+
    		78¢78¢
    $89
    		-11¢—
    2
    6.9+
    		74¢74¢
    $30
    		-9¢—
    3
    7.0+
    		57¢57¢
    $238
    		-10¢—
    4
    7.1+
    		50¢50¢
    $52
    		-8¢—
    5
    7.2+
    		43¢43¢
    $443
    		-9¢—
    6
    7.3+
    		31¢31¢
    $164
    		-4¢—
    7
    7.4+
    		27¢27¢
    $90
    		-6¢—
    8
    7.5+
    		16¢16¢
    $1.3K
    		-3¢—
    9
    7.6+
    		13¢13¢
    $1.5K
    		+2¢—
    10
    7.7+
    		10¢10¢
    $277
    		-3¢—
    11
    7.8+
    		9¢9¢
    $783
    		-4¢—
    12
    7.9+
    		8¢8¢
    $1.9K
    		+4¢—
    13
    8.0+
    		5¢5¢
    $3.0K
    		-2¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    16.8+
    78%
    78¢-11¢
    26.9+
    74%
    74¢-9¢
    37.0+
    57%
    57¢-10¢
    47.1+
    50%
    50¢-8¢
    57.2+
    43%
    43¢-9¢
    67.3+
    31%
    31¢-4¢
    77.4+
    27%
    27¢-6¢
    87.5+
    16%
    16¢-3¢
    97.6+
    13%
    13¢+2¢
    107.7+
    10¢-3¢
    117.8+
    9¢-4¢
    127.9+
    8¢+4¢
    138.0+
    5¢-2¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Oct 1, 2026

    ~17 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    13
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $9.8K

    Whale Activity

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