US Election

    How many votes will Hakeem Jeffries get on first ballot?

    255-259 leads by 14 pts · 4 candidates at 5%+

    1. 255-259#133%
    2. 244 or fewer#219%
    3. 245-249#319%
    #4 250-25419%#5 260-2643%+4 more
    Resolves
    Jan 3, 2027
    Volume
    $21.5K
    24h
    $1.5K
    Candidates
    9
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 9 markets

    Who’s winning

    • 255-25933%
    • 244 or fewer19%
    • 245-24919%
    • 250-25419%
    • 260-2643%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

    Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

    Claim offer 1 / 5

    Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

    Signals

    1 signal
    1. 244 or fewer24h
      ▼ 10¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every candidate, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    255-259$3.5K vol33%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US34¢35¢ after fees
    244 or fewer$5.7K vol19%▼ 10Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US20¢21¢ after fees
    245-249$1.8K vol19%▲ 2Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US20¢21¢ after fees
    250-254$4.0K vol19%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US20¢21¢ after fees
    260-264$2.1K vol3%▼ 2Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US5¢5¢ after fees
    270-274$3.1K vol1%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢1¢ after fees
    265-269$430 vol<1%——
    275-279$565 vol<1%——
    280 or more$382 vol<1%——

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

    Loading trades…

    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Sun, January 3, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

    More in US Election

    All US Election