How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?

    Above 3 leads by 73 pts · 2 outcomes at 5%+

    1. Above 3#197%
    2. Above 4#224%
    3. Above 6#33%
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2026
    Volume
    $19.4K
    24h
    $295
    Outcomes
    10
    kalshi1 venue · 10 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Above 397%
    • Above 424%
    • Above 63%
    • Above 52%
    • Above 82%
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    Signals

    1 signal
    1. Above 424h
      ▼ 5¢ in 24hkalshi

    Every outcome, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Above 3$3.2K vol97%▼ 1kalshi98¢99¢ after fees
    Above 4$8.9K vol24%▼ 5kalshi26¢28¢ after fees
    Above 6$905 vol3%—kalshi3¢4¢ after fees
    Above 5$5.4K vol2%▼ 1kalshi2¢3¢ after fees
    Above 8$247 vol2%—kalshi2¢3¢ after fees
    Above 12$63 vol2%—kalshi2¢3¢ after fees
    Above 9$35 vol2%—kalshi2¢3¢ after fees
    Above 10$60 vol2%—kalshi2¢3¢ after fees
    Above 11$142 vol2%—kalshi2¢3¢ after fees
    Above 7$399 vol2%—kalshi2¢3¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Thu, December 31, 2026
    kalshiCompared across 1 venue

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