How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?

    How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026? Live odds across 10 markets: 4 at 52¢. Resolves Dec 31, 2026. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026

    • 5: Yes 37¢ (kalshi)
    • 4: Yes 52¢ (kalshi)
    • 1 or below: Yes 2¢ (kalshi)
    • 10 or above: Yes 1¢ (kalshi)
    • 8: Yes 1¢ (kalshi)
    • 9: Yes 1¢ (kalshi)
    • 6: Yes 3¢ (kalshi)
    • 7: Yes 2¢ (kalshi)
    • 2: Yes 4¢ (kalshi)
    • 3: Yes 8¢ (kalshi)
    TRADING OPEN
    8s

    How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026
    Total Volume

    $42.6K

    +$259 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    52¢

    4

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -31¢

    3

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets · Showing 10
    #
    1
    4
    		52¢52¢
    $7.7K+$16 24h
    		-10¢—
    2
    5
    		37¢37¢
    $13.0K+$242 24h
    		-10¢—
    3
    3
    		8¢8¢
    $2.8K
    		-31¢—
    4
    2
    		4¢4¢
    $3.1K
    		-4¢—
    5
    6
    		3¢3¢
    $8.5K
    		-8¢—
    6
    1 or below
    		2¢2¢
    $3.6K+$2 24h
    		+1¢—
    7
    7
    		2¢2¢
    $2.3K
    		-1¢—
    8
    10 or above
    		1¢1¢
    $637
    		-1¢—
    9
    8
    		1¢1¢
    $915
    		-1¢—
    10
    9
    		1¢1¢
    $228
    		-1¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    14
    52%
    52¢-10¢
    25
    37%
    37¢-10¢
    33
    8¢-31¢
    42
    4¢-4¢
    56
    3¢-8¢
    61 or below
    2¢+1¢
    77
    2¢-1¢
    810 or above
    1¢-1¢
    98
    1¢-1¢
    109
    1¢-1¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Dec 31, 2026

    ~130 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $42.6K

    Whale Activity

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