How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

    How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary? Live odds across 6 markets: 2 at 96¢. Resolves Nov 3, 2026. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026

    • 0: Yes 11¢ (polymarket)
    • 4: Yes 12¢ (polymarket)
    • >4: Yes 3¢ (polymarket)
    • 3: Yes 30¢ (polymarket)
    • 1: Yes 17¢ (polymarket)
    • 2: Yes 96¢ (polymarket)

    How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $7.2K

    +$3 (24h)

    Active Markets

    6

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    81¢

    2

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -15¢

    2

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    6 markets · Showing 6
    #
    181¢96¢
    $1.1K
    -15¢
    219¢30¢
    $659
    +6¢
    317¢
    $716
    -8¢
    412¢
    $924
    -7¢
    511¢
    $2.5K+$3 24h
    6
    $1.3K

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    12
    81%
    81¢-15¢
    23
    19%
    19¢+6¢
    31
    -8¢
    44
    -7¢
    50
    6>4

    Price History

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~141 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    6
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $7.2K

    Whale Activity

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