How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

    How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary? Live odds across 6 markets: 4-6 at 94¢. Resolves Nov 3, 2026. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026

    • 4-6: Yes 94¢ (polymarket)
    • 10-12: Yes 80¢ (polymarket)
    • 13-15: Yes 0¢ (polymarket)
    • <3: Yes 1¢ (polymarket)
    • 7-9: Yes 87¢ (polymarket)
    • >15: Yes 30¢ (polymarket)

    How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $60.2K

    +$0 (24h)

    Active Markets

    6

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    47¢

    4-6

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -45¢

    4-6

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    6 markets · Showing 6
    #
    147¢94¢
    $11.6K
    -45¢
    244¢87¢
    $4.0K
    -18¢
    340¢80¢
    $2.8K
    -38¢
    416¢30¢
    $1.9K
    -14¢
    5
    $37.1K
    6
    $2.8K

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    14-6
    47%
    47¢-45¢
    27-9
    44%
    44¢-18¢
    310-12
    40%
    40¢-38¢
    4>15
    16%
    16¢-14¢
    5<3
    613-15

    Price History

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~141 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    6
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $60.2K

    Whale Activity

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