How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

    How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026? Live odds across 6 markets: 0 at 70¢. Resolves Mar 31, 2027. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Mar 31, 2027

    • 1: Yes 23¢ (polymarket)
    • 4: Yes 1¢ (polymarket)
    • 5+: Yes 1¢ (polymarket)
    • 3: Yes 2¢ (polymarket)
    • 2: Yes 5¢ (polymarket)
    • 0: Yes 70¢ (polymarket)

    How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

    Resolves Mar 31, 2027
    Total Volume

    $1.1M

    +$3.0K (24h)

    Active Markets

    6

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    68¢

    0

    Biggest Mover 24h

    +1¢

    1

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    6 markets · Showing 6
    #
    1
    0📈 Trending
    68¢70¢
    $498.2K+$20 24h
    2
    1 Hot
    21¢23¢
    $272.7K+$1.8K 24h
    +1¢
    3
    $38.9K+$37 24h
    4
    $30.8K+$82 24h
    -1¢
    5
    4 Hot
    $34.0K+$978 24h
    6
    $274.2K+$106 24h

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    10
    68%
    68¢
    21
    21%
    21¢+1¢
    32
    43
    -1¢
    54
    65+

    Price History

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Mar 31, 2027

    ~289 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    6
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $1.1M

    Whale Activity

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