How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

    How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026? Live odds across 6 markets: 0 at 62¢. Resolves Dec 31, 2026. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026

    • 1: Yes 19¢ (polymarket)
    • 2: Yes 4¢ (polymarket)
    • 3: Yes 1¢ (polymarket)
    • 0: Yes 62¢ (polymarket)
    • 5+: Yes 1¢ (polymarket)
    • 4: Yes 1¢ (polymarket)
    TRADING OPEN
    8s

    How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026
    Total Volume

    $1.2M

    +$60 (24h)

    Active Markets

    6

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    62¢

    0

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -7¢

    1

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    6 markets · Showing 6
    #
    162¢62¢
    $499.1K
    -5¢
    2
    1 Hot
    19¢19¢
    $274.1K+$60 24h
    -7¢
    3
    $40.9K
    4
    $31.7K
    5
    $275.5K
    6
    $35.0K

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    10
    62%
    62¢-5¢
    21
    19%
    19¢-7¢
    32
    43
    55+
    64

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Dec 31, 2026

    ~128 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    6
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $1.2M

    Whale Activity

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