TRADING OPEN

    How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

    Resolves Mar 31, 2027
    Total Volume

    $1.2M

    +$0 (24h)

    Active Markets

    6

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    53¢

    1

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -21¢

    0

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    6 markets
    #
    153¢53¢
    $275.4K
    -17¢—
    227¢27¢
    $500.9K
    -21¢—
    39¢9¢
    $32.4K
    -1¢—
    47¢7¢
    $46.5K
    -1¢—
    51¢1¢
    $276.2K
    ——
    60¢0¢
    $36.2K
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    11
    53%
    53¢-17¢
    20
    27%
    27¢-21¢
    33
    9¢-1¢
    42
    7¢-1¢
    55+
    1¢—
    64
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Mar 31, 2027

    ~162 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    6
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $1.2M

    Whale Activity

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