How many House seats will the Democrats win in New York?

    20 leads by 92 pts

    1. 20#196%
    2. 21+#24%
    3. 21#33%
    Resolves
    Jan 14, 2027
    Volume
    $57.2K
    24h
    $574
    Liquidity
    $3.4K
    Candidates
    11
    kalshiPolymarket USPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US3 venues · 13 markets

    Who’s winning

    • 2096%
    • 21+4%
    • 213%
    • 181%
    • 221%
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    Signals

    3 signals
    1. 21+24h
      ▼ 47¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    2. 2124h
      ▼ 46¢ in 24h
    3. 2224h
      ▼ 33¢ in 24h

    Every candidate, every venue

    3 venues
    ChanceBest
    20$6.8K vol96%▲ 6kalshi98¢99¢ after fees
    21+$1.9K vol4%▼ 47Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US7¢7¢ after fees
    21$6.8K vol3%▼ 46kalshi5¢6¢ after fees
    18$6.6K vol1%▼ 5kalshi2¢3¢ after fees
    22$8.0K vol1%▼ 33kalshi2¢3¢ after fees
    23$2.0K vol1%▼ 2kalshi2¢3¢ after fees
    17$4.1K vol1%▼ 1kalshi1¢2¢ after fees
    Below 16$2.4K vol1%▼ 1kalshi1¢2¢ after fees
    Above 23$1.1K vol1%▼ 1kalshi1¢2¢ after fees
    16$2.1K vol1%—kalshi1¢2¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Democrats win 20 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket USPolymarket US

    How Many House Seats Will The Democrats Win In New York?

    Full rules on Polymarket US ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in New York in the 2026 United States midterm election. All New York US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in New York in the 2026 United States midterm election. All New York US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat. Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Thu, January 14, 2027
    kalshiPolymarket USPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 3 venues

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