How many House seats will the Democrats win in Nevada?

    4 leads by 34 pts · 4 candidates at 5%+

    1. 4#165%
    2. 3#231%
    3. 2#316%
    Resolves
    Nov 3, 2026
    Volume
    $70.7K
    24h
    $2.0K
    Liquidity
    $87.3K
    Candidates
    6
    polymarketkalshi2 venues · 6 markets

    Who’s winning

    • 465%
    • 331%
    • 216%
    • Below 212%
    • 12%
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    Signals

    3 signals
    1. 324h
      ▼ 22¢ in 24h
    2. 424h
      ▲ 16¢ in 24h
    3. 224h
      ▲ 9¢ in 24hpolymarket

    Every candidate, every venue

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    4$13.9K vol65%▲ 16kalshi82¢84¢ after fees
    3$19.7K vol31%▼ 22kalshi50¢52¢ after fees
    2$23.4K vol16%▲ 9kalshi46¢48¢ after fees
    Below 2$10.6K vol12%▲ 5kalshi24¢26¢ after fees
    1$1.7K vol2%▼ 1polymarket3¢3¢ after fees
    0$1.4K vol1%—polymarket1¢1¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

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    How each venue settles it

    polymarketPolymarket

    This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Nevada in the 2026 United States midterm election. All Nevada US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for…

    kalshiKalshi

    If Democrats win 4 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Nevada, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗

    About this market

    This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Nevada in the 2026 United States midterm election. All Nevada US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat. Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Tue, November 3, 2026
    polymarketkalshiCompared across 2 venues

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