How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

    How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary? Live odds across 6 markets: 2 at 89¢. Resolves Nov 3, 2026. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026

    • >4: Yes 15¢ (polymarket)
    • 4: Yes 3¢ (polymarket)
    • 3: Yes 68¢ (polymarket)
    • 0: Yes 85¢ (polymarket)
    • 2: Yes 89¢ (polymarket)
    • 1: Yes 27¢ (polymarket)

    How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $6.3K

    +$7 (24h)

    Active Markets

    6

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    75¢

    0

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -46¢

    2

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    6 markets · Showing 6
    #
    175¢85¢
    $1.9K
    -13¢
    245¢89¢
    $1.3K
    -46¢
    334¢68¢
    $586+$2 24h
    +27¢
    4
    1📈 Trending
    14¢27¢
    $1.5K
    -13¢
    515¢
    $476+$2 24h
    +7¢
    6
    $559+$2 24h
    -1¢

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    10
    75%
    75¢-13¢
    22
    45%
    45¢-46¢
    33
    34%
    34¢+27¢
    41
    14%
    14¢-13¢
    5>4
    +7¢
    64
    -1¢

    Price History

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~141 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    6
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $6.3K

    Whale Activity

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