How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

    How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary? Live odds across 6 markets: 7-9 at 83¢. Resolves Nov 3, 2026. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026

    • 7-9: Yes 83¢ (polymarket)
    • 10-12: Yes 6¢ (polymarket)
    • 13-15: Yes 6¢ (polymarket)
    • <3: Yes 54¢ (polymarket)
    • >15: Yes 0¢ (polymarket)
    • 4-6: Yes 79¢ (polymarket)

    How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $2.3K

    +$0 (24h)

    Active Markets

    6

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    43¢

    7-9

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -40¢

    7-9

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    6 markets · Showing 6
    #
    143¢83¢
    $194
    -40¢
    241¢79¢
    $632
    -38¢
    327¢54¢
    $230
    -27¢
    4
    $387
    -2¢
    5
    $450
    -2¢
    6
    $394

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    17-9
    43%
    43¢-40¢
    24-6
    41%
    41¢-38¢
    3<3
    27%
    27¢-27¢
    413-15
    -2¢
    510-12
    -2¢
    6>15

    Price History

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~141 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    6
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $2.3K

    Whale Activity

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