TRADING OPEN

    How low will the 2-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?

    Resolves Oct 30, 2026
    Total Volume

    $14.6K

    +$208 (24h)

    Active Markets

    12

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    71¢

    4.73% or below

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -74¢

    4.69% or below

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    12 open
    #
    1
    4.73% or below
    		71¢71¢
    $1.0K
    		-29¢—
    2
    4.71% or below
    		38¢38¢
    $1.4K
    		-62¢—
    3
    4.72% or below
    		35¢35¢
    $3.6K+$48 24h
    		-39¢—
    4
    4.7% or below
    		30¢30¢
    $2.4K+$18 24h
    		-33¢—
    5
    4.68% or below
    		26¢26¢
    $311
    		-29¢—
    6
    4.69% or below
    		26¢26¢
    $845
    		-74¢—
    7
    4.67% or below📈 Trending
    		24¢24¢
    $489+$24 24h
    		-27¢—
    8
    4.65% or below
    		24¢24¢
    $673
    		-26¢—
    9
    4.64% or below📈 Trending
    		22¢22¢
    $792
    		-25¢—
    10
    4.66% or below📈 Trending
    		22¢22¢
    $301
    		-28¢—
    11
    4.63% or below
    		20¢20¢
    $1.1K
    		-22¢—
    12
    4.62% or below📈 Trending
    		18¢18¢
    $883+$118 24h
    		-20¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    14.73% or below
    71%
    71¢-29¢
    24.71% or below
    38%
    38¢-62¢
    34.72% or below
    35%
    35¢-39¢
    44.7% or below
    30%
    30¢-33¢
    54.68% or below
    26%
    26¢-29¢
    64.69% or below
    26%
    26¢-74¢
    74.67% or below
    24%
    24¢-27¢
    84.65% or below
    24%
    24¢-26¢
    94.64% or below
    22%
    22¢-25¢
    104.66% or below
    22%
    22¢-28¢
    114.63% or below
    20%
    20¢-22¢
    124.62% or below
    18%
    18¢-20¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Oct 30, 2026

    ~9 days remaining
    Category
    Economics
    Markets
    13
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $14.6K

    Whale Activity

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