TRADING OPEN

    How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?

    Resolves Oct 30, 2026
    Total Volume

    $32.2K

    +$727 (24h)

    Active Markets

    11

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    100¢

    5.09% or below

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -9¢

    4.99% or below

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    11 open
    #
    1
    5.09% or below
    		100¢100¢
    $594
    		——
    2
    5.08% or below
    		60¢60¢
    $2.0K+$100 24h
    		+1¢—
    3
    5.07% or below
    		59¢59¢
    $1.0K+$14 24h
    		-2¢—
    4
    5.06% or below📈 Trending
    		57¢57¢
    $999+$300 24h
    		+1¢—
    5
    5.05% or below📈 Trending
    		50¢50¢
    $747+$100 24h
    		-7¢—
    6
    5.04% or below📈 Trending
    		45¢45¢
    $1.2K+$109 24h
    		-2¢—
    7
    5.02% or below Hot
    		42¢42¢
    $275
    		-1¢—
    8
    5.03% or below📈 Trending
    		42¢42¢
    $407
    		-1¢—
    9
    5.01% or below📈 Trending
    		40¢40¢
    $648
    		-3¢—
    10
    5% or below
    		39¢39¢
    $1.1K+$102 24h
    		-2¢—
    11
    4.99% or below
    		14¢14¢
    $2.6K+$2 24h
    		-9¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    15.09% or below
    100%
    100¢—
    25.08% or below
    60%
    60¢+1¢
    35.07% or below
    59%
    59¢-2¢
    45.06% or below
    57%
    57¢+1¢
    55.05% or below
    50%
    50¢-7¢
    65.04% or below
    45%
    45¢-2¢
    75.02% or below
    42%
    42¢-1¢
    85.03% or below
    42%
    42¢-1¢
    95.01% or below
    40%
    40¢-3¢
    105% or below
    39%
    39¢-2¢
    114.99% or below
    14%
    14¢-9¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Oct 30, 2026

    ~9 days remaining
    Category
    Economics
    Markets
    25
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $32.2K

    Whale Activity

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