TRADING OPEN

    How low will 2-year Treasury yield get in October?

    Resolves Oct 31, 2026
    Total Volume

    $12.8K

    +$606 (24h)

    Active Markets

    9

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    56¢

    Below 4.73%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -17¢

    Below 4.67%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    9 markets
    #
    1
    —
    Below 4.73%
    		56¢56¢
    $1.8K+$10 24h
    		-15¢—
    2
    —
    Below 4.70%
    		47¢47¢
    $1.8K
    		-10¢—
    3
    —
    Below 4.67%
    		31¢31¢
    $1.9K+$252 24h
    		-17¢—
    4
    —
    Below 4.64%
    		30¢30¢
    $2.1K+$20 24h
    		-14¢—
    5
    —
    Below 4.60%
    		22¢22¢
    $1.1K+$68 24h
    		-2¢—
    6
    —
    Below 4.55%
    		16¢16¢
    $1.7K+$55 24h
    		-3¢—
    7
    —
    Below 4.50%
    		11¢11¢
    $678+$116 24h
    		-9¢—
    8
    —
    Below 4.45%
    		8¢8¢
    $789+$85 24h
    		-1¢—
    9
    —
    Below 4.40%
    		6¢6¢
    $953
    		-1¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Below 4.73%
    56%
    56¢-15¢
    2Below 4.70%
    47%
    47¢-10¢
    3Below 4.67%
    31%
    31¢-17¢
    4Below 4.64%
    30%
    30¢-14¢
    5Below 4.60%
    22%
    22¢-2¢
    6Below 4.55%
    16%
    16¢-3¢
    7Below 4.50%
    11¢-9¢
    8Below 4.45%
    8¢-1¢
    9Below 4.40%
    6¢-1¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Oct 31, 2026

    ~11 days remaining
    Category
    Economics
    Markets
    9
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $12.8K

    Whale Activity

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