How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?

    How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September? Live odds across 20 markets: 4.79% or below at 24¢. Resolves Sep 30, 2026. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Sep 30, 2026

    TRADING OPEN
    8s

    How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).

    Resolves Sep 30, 2026
    Total Volume

    $43.4K

    +$3.7K (24h)

    Active Markets

    20

    Across 2 platforms

    Frontrunner

    24¢

    4.79% or below

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -6¢

    4.77% or below

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    20 markets · Showing 20
    #
    124¢24¢
    $93
    -5¢
    219¢19¢
    $211
    -5¢
    318¢16¢18¢
    $11.0K+$486 24h
    -4¢
    416¢16¢
    $0
    -6¢
    516¢16¢
    $1.2K
    +1¢
    616¢16¢
    $520
    -2¢
    710¢13¢10¢
    $4.4K+$258 24h
    -5¢
    2¢
    8
    $162
    -5¢
    9
    $7.8K+$1.9K 24h
    -3¢
    10
    $300
    -6¢
    11
    $4.0K+$645 24h
    -5¢
    12
    $880
    -6¢
    13
    $3.1K+$273 24h
    14
    $0
    -5¢
    15
    $2.2K
    -2¢
    16
    $1.2K+$30 24h
    17
    $2.7K+$11 24h
    -1¢
    18
    $592+$2 24h
    -3¢
    19
    $725
    -4¢
    20
    $2.4K+$13 24h
    -1¢

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Below 4.76%
    18%
    18¢-4¢
    2Below 4.73%
    10¢-5¢
    34.7% or below
    -3¢
    44.67% or below
    -5¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Sep 30, 2026

    ~17 days remaining
    Category
    Economics
    Markets
    20
    Platforms
    2
    Total Volume
    $43.4K

    Whale Activity

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