How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

    How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027? Live odds across 8 markets: 3.9% at 10¢. Resolves Dec 31, 2026. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026

    • 3.8%: Yes 2¢ (polymarket)
    • 3.7%: Yes 3¢ (polymarket)
    • 3.9%: Yes 10¢ (polymarket)
    • 3.0%: Yes 2¢ (polymarket)
    • 3.5%: Yes 1¢ (polymarket)
    • 1.0%: Yes 2¢ (polymarket)
    • 3.6%: Yes 5¢ (polymarket)
    • 2.0%: Yes 3¢ (polymarket)
    TRADING OPEN
    8s

    How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026
    Total Volume

    $193.7K

    +$0 (24h)

    Active Markets

    8

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    10¢

    3.9%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -2¢

    3.8%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    8 markets · Showing 8
    #
    1
    3.9%
    		10¢10¢
    $44.2K
    		-1¢—
    2
    3.6%
    		5¢5¢
    $5.6K
    		-1¢—
    3
    2.0%
    		3¢3¢
    $564
    		-2¢—
    4
    3.7%
    		3¢3¢
    $27.4K
    		-1¢—
    5
    3.8% Hot
    		2¢2¢
    $41.3K
    		-2¢—
    6
    3.0%
    		2¢2¢
    $917
    		-1¢—
    7
    1.0%
    		2¢2¢
    $40.6K
    		——
    8
    3.5%
    		1¢1¢
    $33.1K
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    13.9%
    10¢-1¢
    23.6%
    5¢-1¢
    32.0%
    3¢-2¢
    43.7%
    3¢-1¢
    53.8%
    2¢-2¢
    63.0%
    2¢-1¢
    71.0%
    2¢—
    83.5%
    1¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Dec 31, 2026

    ~128 days remaining
    Category
    Economics
    Markets
    8
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $193.7K

    Whale Activity

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