TRADING OPEN

    How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?

    Resolves Jan 1, 2027
    Total Volume

    $575.6K

    +$47 (24h)

    Active Markets

    7

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    4¢

    Above 91,500 MW

    Biggest Mover 24h

    —

    No movement

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    7 markets
    #
    1
    —
    Above 91,500 MW
    		4¢4¢
    $140.5K+$47 24h
    		——
    2
    Above 92,000 MW
    		4¢4¢
    $134.6K
    		——
    3
    —
    Above 92,500 MW
    		4¢4¢
    $75.1K
    		——
    4
    Above 94,000 MW
    		3¢3¢
    $85.9K
    		——
    5
    —
    Above 93,000 MW
    		3¢3¢
    $54.3K
    		——
    6
    Above 96,000 MW
    		3¢3¢
    $45.1K
    		——
    7
    Above 98,000 MW
    		2¢2¢
    $40.1K
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Above 91,500 MW
    4¢—
    2Above 92,000 MW
    4¢—
    3Above 92,500 MW
    4¢—
    4Above 94,000 MW
    3¢—
    5Above 93,000 MW
    3¢—
    6Above 96,000 MW
    3¢—
    7Above 98,000 MW
    2¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 1, 2027

    ~86 days remaining
    Category
    Economics
    Markets
    7
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $575.6K

    Whale Activity

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