How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

    How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027? Live odds across 9 markets: 4.70% at 100¢. Resolves Dec 31, 2026. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026

    • 5.10%: Yes 78¢ (polymarket)
    • 5.25%: Yes 62¢ (polymarket)
    • 5.00%: Yes 85¢ (polymarket)
    • 4.90%: Yes 86¢ (polymarket)
    • 4.80%: Yes 94¢ (polymarket)
    • 4.95%: Yes 85¢ (polymarket)
    • 4.85%: Yes 92¢ (polymarket)
    • 4.70%: Yes 100¢ (polymarket)
    • 4.75%: Yes 100¢ (polymarket)
    TRADING OPEN
    8s

    How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026
    Total Volume

    $6.8K

    +$817 (24h)

    Active Markets

    9

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    100¢

    4.70%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    +35¢

    4.75%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    9 markets · Showing 7
    #
    1
    —
    4.80%
    		94¢94¢
    $1.4K+$40 24h
    		-1¢—
    2
    —
    4.85%
    		92¢92¢
    $234
    		-1¢—
    3
    —
    4.90%
    		86¢86¢
    $188+$69 24h
    		-1¢—
    4
    —
    5.00%📈 Trending
    		85¢85¢
    $547+$147 24h
    		——
    5
    —
    4.95%
    		85¢85¢
    $221+$22 24h
    		——
    6
    —
    5.10%
    		78¢78¢
    $1.5K+$293 24h
    		-1¢—
    7
    —
    5.25%
    		62¢62¢
    $1.1K+$245 24h
    		-1¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    14.80%
    94%
    94¢-1¢
    24.85%
    92%
    92¢-1¢
    34.90%
    86%
    86¢-1¢
    45.00%
    85%
    85¢—
    54.95%
    85%
    85¢—
    65.10%
    78%
    78¢-1¢
    75.25%
    62%
    62¢-1¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Dec 31, 2026

    ~108 days remaining
    Category
    Economics
    Markets
    9
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $6.8K

    Whale Activity

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