TRADING OPEN

    How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

    Resolves Jan 1, 2027
    Total Volume

    $758.2K

    +$477 (24h)

    Active Markets

    7

    Across 2 platforms

    Frontrunner

    100¢

    5.3% or above

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -41¢

    5.35% or above

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    7 open
    #
    1100¢100¢—
    $7.3K
    ——
    259¢59¢—
    $2.9K
    -41¢—
    345¢45¢—
    $403
    -8¢—
    4
    —
    40¢48¢40¢
    $71.2K+$114 24h
    +1¢—
    525¢37¢25¢
    $207.1K+$16 24h
    -1¢—
    614¢—14¢
    $105.5K+$146 24h
    -1¢—
    76¢—6¢
    $100.5K+$200 24h
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    15.4%
    40%
    40¢+1¢
    25.5% or above
    25%
    25¢-1¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 1, 2027

    ~72 days remaining
    Category
    Economics
    Markets
    36
    Platforms
    2
    Total Volume
    $758.2K

    Whale Activity

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