US Election

    House Minority Leader in next Congress?

    Jim Jordan leads by 99 pts

    1. Jim Jordan#1>99%
    2. Kevin Hern#21%
    3. Lisa McClain#3<1%
    #4 Katherine Clark<1%#5 Steve Scalise<1%+3 more
    Resolves
    Jan 17, 2027
    Volume
    $242.4K
    24h
    $72.0K
    Liquidity
    $20.7K
    Candidates
    8
    Polymarket USPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2 venues · 18 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Jim Jordan>99%
    • Kevin Hern1%
    • Lisa McClain<1%
    • Katherine Clark<1%
    • Steve Scalise<1%
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    Signals

    2 signals
    1. Jim Jordan24h
      ▲ 29¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    2. Steve Scalise24h
      ▼ 28¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every candidate, every venue

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Jim Jordan$70.2K vol>99%▲ 29Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US99¢99¢ after fees
    Kevin Hern$3.4K vol1%—Polymarket US1¢fee unknown
    Lisa McClain$339 vol<1%——
    Katherine Clark$387 vol<1%——
    Steve Scalise$41.0K vol<1%▼ 28Polymarket US1¢fee unknown
    Tom Emmer$20.2K vol0%▼ 2Polymarket US1¢fee unknown
    Hakeem Jeffries$19.2K vol0%▼ 1Polymarket US1¢fee unknown
    Mike Johnson$7.4K vol0%▼ 1Polymarket US1¢fee unknown

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

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    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket USPolymarket US

    House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress?

    Full rules on Polymarket US ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve according to the first individual selected to be Minority Leader of the United States House of Representatives for the 120th United States Congress, which is scheduled to convene in January 2027 following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible report…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    Who will be the next House Minority Leader?

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Sun, January 17, 2027
    Polymarket USPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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