Hegseth impeached and removed by...?

    March 31, 2027 leads by 9 pts

    1. March 31, 2027#111%
    2. December 31, 2026#22%
    Resolves
    Apr 14, 2027
    Volume
    $2.2K
    24h
    $989
    Liquidity
    $10.4K
    Candidates
    2
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket US2 venues · 2 markets

    Who’s winning

    • March 31, 202711%
    • December 31, 20262%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

    Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

    Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

    Signals

    3 signals
    1. March 31, 202724h
      ▼ 42¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket US
    2. December 31, 202624h
      ▼ 18¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    3. March 31, 202724h
      9¢ apart across venuesPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket US

    Every candidate, every venue

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    March 31, 2027$2.0K vol · 9¢ apart11%▼ 42Polymarket US22¢fee unknown
    December 31, 2026$206 vol2%▼ 18Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US4¢4¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Polymarket US
    • Consensus

    Same candidate, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

    Loading trades…

    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth is impeached and removed from the office of United States Secretary of War (also referred to as the Secretary of Defense) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Impeachment means the U.S. House of Representatives approves one or more articles of impeachment against Pete Hegseth. Removal means the U.S. Senate votes to convict…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    Polymarket USPolymarket US

    Pete Hegseth Impeached and Convicted?

    Full rules on Polymarket US ↗

    About this market

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth is impeached and removed from the office of United States Secretary of War (also referred to as the Secretary of Defense) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Impeachment means the U.S. House of Representatives approves one or more articles of impeachment against Pete Hegseth. Removal means the U.S. Senate votes to convict Pete Hegseth on one or more articles of impeachment by the two-thirds vote required under the U.S. Constitution, as announced by the presiding officer of the Senate. The conviction will be considered to occur at the time of that announcement. Whip counts, statements of intended votes, and partial vote tallies will not qualify. This market will resolve to “Yes” upon a qualifying conviction, regardless of when the Senate pronounces judgment, whether it votes on disqualification from future office, whether Pete Hegseth vacates the office, or any legal challenge to the conviction. Impeachment without a Senate conviction will not qualify. An acquittal or dismissal of articles of impeachment will not, on its own, resolve this market. If Pete Hegseth formally leaves the office of Secretary of War for any reason before a qualifying conviction, including by resignation or dismissal, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. An announcement of a future resignation does not count as leaving office. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Congress, including Senate roll call votes; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Wed, April 14, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USCompared across 2 venues

    More in Congress

    All Congress