TRADING OPEN

    Hawaii Governor Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $21.7K

    +$1.4K (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    20¢

    Democrat 35-40%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -13¢

    Republican Wins

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    1
    Democrat 35-40%
    		20¢20¢
    $3.8K
    		-1¢—
    2
    Democrat 40-45%
    		18¢18¢
    $5.4K
    		-5¢—
    3
    Democrat 30-35%
    		18¢18¢
    $2.6K
    		-1¢—
    4
    Democrat 45%+
    		14¢14¢
    $3.4K
    		-4¢—
    5
    Democrat 25-30%
    		14¢14¢
    $1.4K
    		-1¢—
    6
    Democrat 0-10% Hot
    		11¢11¢
    $939+$410 24h
    		+4¢—
    7
    Democrat 15-20% Hot
    		10¢10¢
    $1.1K+$326 24h
    		+3¢—
    8
    Democrat 10-15% Hot
    		6¢6¢
    $1.1K+$273 24h
    		+5¢—
    9
    Republican Wins Hot
    		5¢5¢
    $890+$256 24h
    		-13¢—
    10
    Democrat 20-25% Hot
    		5¢5¢
    $1.1K+$116 24h
    		-3¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Democrat 35-40%
    20%
    20¢-1¢
    2Democrat 40-45%
    18%
    18¢-5¢
    3Democrat 30-35%
    18%
    18¢-1¢
    4Democrat 45%+
    14%
    14¢-4¢
    5Democrat 25-30%
    14%
    14¢-1¢
    6Democrat 0-10%
    11¢+4¢
    7Democrat 15-20%
    10¢+3¢
    8Democrat 10-15%
    6¢+5¢
    9Republican Wins
    5¢-13¢
    10Democrat 20-25%
    5¢-3¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $21.7K

    Whale Activity

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