TRADING OPEN

    Hawaii Governor Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $19.7K

    +$522 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    20¢

    Democrat 30-35%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -6¢

    Democrat 40-45%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    1
    Democrat 30-35%
    		20¢20¢
    $2.6K
    		+1¢—
    2
    Democrat 40-45%
    		19¢19¢
    $5.3K+$319 24h
    		-6¢—
    3
    Democrat 35-40%
    		18¢18¢
    $3.5K+$78 24h
    		+1¢—
    4
    Democrat 25-30%📈 Trending
    		17¢17¢
    $1.3K+$80 24h
    		+1¢—
    5
    Democrat 45%+
    		14¢14¢
    $3.4K+$45 24h
    		-3¢—
    6
    Democrat 20-25%
    		0¢0¢
    $810
    		——
    7
    Democrat 0-10%
    		0¢0¢
    $529
    		——
    8
    Republican Wins
    		0¢0¢
    $634
    		-1¢—
    9
    Democrat 15-20%
    		0¢0¢
    $732
    		——
    10
    Democrat 10-15%
    		0¢0¢
    $795
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Democrat 30-35%
    20%
    20¢+1¢
    2Democrat 40-45%
    19%
    19¢-6¢
    3Democrat 35-40%
    18%
    18¢+1¢
    4Democrat 25-30%
    17%
    17¢+1¢
    5Democrat 45%+
    14%
    14¢-3¢
    6Democrat 20-25%
    0¢—
    7Democrat 0-10%
    0¢—
    8Republican Wins
    0¢-1¢
    9Democrat 15-20%
    0¢—
    10Democrat 10-15%
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~20 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $19.7K

    Whale Activity

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