Video Games

    GTA VI Online released by...?

    Before 2028 leads by 11 pts · 4 outcomes at 5%+

    1. Before 2028#189%
    2. Before July 2027#278%
    3. March 31, 2027#371%
    #4 Before 202714%
    Resolves
    Jun 30, 2027
    Volume
    $420.6K
    24h
    $34.8K
    Liquidity
    $2.4K
    Outcomes
    4
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2 venues · 4 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Before 202889%
    • Before July 202778%
    • March 31, 202771%
    • Before 202714%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    2 signals
    1. Before 202724h
      ▼ 11¢ in 24hkalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    2. Before July 202724h
      5¢ apart across venueskalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every outcome, every venue

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Before 2028$5.1K vol89%▲ 2kalshi89¢90¢ after fees
    Before July 2027$16.4K vol · 5¢ apart78%—kalshi77¢79¢ after fees
    March 31, 2027$551 vol71%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US80¢81¢ after fees
    Before 2027$398.5K vol14%▼ 11kalshi15¢16¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Before July 20275¢buy kalshi
    • Before 20273¢buy kalshi
    • Kalshi
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Consensus

    Same outcome, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Rockstar Games releases GTA VI Online to the public before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if any form of online multiplayer for Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Online multiplayer” refers to any official mode in which multiple players can play Grand Theft Auto VI together online, whether as part of the base game or as a separate online title such as a new GTA Online. For t…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if any form of online multiplayer for Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Online multiplayer” refers to any official mode in which multiple players can play Grand Theft Auto VI together online, whether as part of the base game or as a separate online title such as a new GTA Online. For the purposes of this market, “release” refers to the online multiplayer becoming publicly available for purchase, download, or play in the US. Open betas available to the general public will count. Closed betas, early access, technical tests, other forms of private or pre-release access, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Wed, June 30, 2027
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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