Movies

    Golden Globes 2027: Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture Winner

    Paul Giamatti leads by 20 pts · 13 outcomes at 5%+

    1. Paul Giamatti#142%
    2. Guitarricadelafuente#222%
    3. John Goodman#38%
    #4 Edward Norton8%#5 Skylar Gisondo7%+8 more
    Resolves
    Jan 10, 2027
    Volume
    $17.8K
    24h
    $0
    Liquidity
    $1.8K
    Outcomes
    13
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2 venues · 13 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Paul Giamatti42%
    • Guitarricadelafuente22%
    • John Goodman8%
    • Edward Norton8%
    • Skylar Gisondo7%
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    Signals

    4 signals
    1. Skylar Gisondo24h
      ▼ 85¢ in 24h
    2. Sam Rockwell24h
      ▼ 85¢ in 24h
    3. Guy Pearce24h
      ▼ 83¢ in 24h
    4. Paul Giamatti24h
      4¢ apart across venuesPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi

    Every outcome, every venue

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Paul Giamatti$3.7K vol · 4¢ apart42%▼ 5kalshi47¢49¢ after fees
    Guitarricadelafuente$2.2K vol22%▼ 6kalshi29¢31¢ after fees
    John Goodman$114 vol8%▼ 7kalshi15¢16¢ after fees
    Edward Norton$5.6K vol8%▼ 4kalshi13¢14¢ after fees
    Skylar Gisondo$0 vol7%▼ 85kalshi13¢14¢ after fees
    Robert Pattinson$0 vol7%▼ 72kalshi13¢14¢ after fees
    Guy Pearce$0 vol7%▼ 83kalshi13¢14¢ after fees
    Colman Domingo$0 vol7%▼ 73kalshi13¢14¢ after fees
    Jeremy Strong$0 vol7%▼ 74kalshi13¢14¢ after fees
    Sam Rockwell$0 vol7%▼ 85kalshi13¢14¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Paul Giamatti4¢buy kalshi
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Kalshi
    • Consensus

    Same outcome, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Paul Giamatti wins a Golden Globe for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    The Golden Globe Awards are presented annually by Dick Clark Productions. For the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards, nominations are scheduled for December 7, 2026, and the ceremony for January 10, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed person who wins Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards. In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    The Golden Globe Awards are presented annually by Dick Clark Productions. For the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards, nominations are scheduled for December 7, 2026, and the ceremony for January 10, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed person who wins Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards. In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated person whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the Golden Globe Awards and the official Golden Globes website (https://www.goldenglobes.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Sun, January 10, 2027
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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