Movies

    Golden Globes 2027: Best Screenplay – Motion Picture Winner

    Wild Horse Nine leads by 16 pts · 11 outcomes at 5%+

    1. Wild Horse Nine#141%
    2. La Bola Negra#225%
    3. The Invite#317%
    #4 The Debut9%#5 The Odyssey7%+6 more
    Resolves
    Jan 10, 2027
    Volume
    $6.2K
    24h
    $0
    Liquidity
    $1.8K
    Outcomes
    11
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2 venues · 11 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Wild Horse Nine41%
    • La Bola Negra25%
    • The Invite17%
    • The Debut9%
    • The Odyssey7%
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    Signals

    3 signals
    1. Tie24h
      ▼ 74¢ in 24h
    2. Wild Horse Nine24h
      ▼ 9¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi
    3. La Bola Negra24h
      ▼ 8¢ in 24hkalshi

    Every outcome, every venue

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Wild Horse Nine$6.1K vol41%▼ 9kalshi45¢47¢ after fees
    La Bola Negra$50 vol25%▼ 8kalshi34¢36¢ after fees
    The Invite$50 vol17%▼ 8kalshi26¢28¢ after fees
    The Debut$0 vol9%▼ 6kalshi16¢17¢ after fees
    The Odyssey$0 vol7%▼ 5kalshi13¢14¢ after fees
    Project Hail Mary$23 vol7%▼ 4kalshi12¢13¢ after fees
    Fjord$0 vol7%▼ 4kalshi12¢13¢ after fees
    Possible Love$0 vol6%▼ 4kalshi11¢12¢ after fees
    All of a Sudden$0 vol6%▼ 4kalshi11¢12¢ after fees
    Elsinore$0 vol6%▼ 4kalshi11¢12¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Wild Horse Nine wins a Golden Globe for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    The Golden Globe Awards are presented annually by Dick Clark Productions. For the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards, nominations are scheduled for December 7, 2026, and the ceremony for January 10, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards. In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nomin…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    The Golden Globe Awards are presented annually by Dick Clark Productions. For the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards, nominations are scheduled for December 7, 2026, and the ceremony for January 10, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards. In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the Golden Globe Awards and the official Golden Globes website (https://www.goldenglobes.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Sun, January 10, 2027
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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