Movies

    Golden Globes 2027: Best Screenplay – Motion Picture Nominees

    Wild Horse Nine leads by 3 pts · 10 outcomes at 5%+

    1. Wild Horse Nine#189%
    2. La Bola Negra#286%
    3. The Invite#386%
    #4 The Debut83%#5 The Odyssey71%+5 more
    Resolves
    Dec 9, 2026
    Volume
    $2.9K
    24h
    $14
    Liquidity
    $43
    Outcomes
    10
    kalshi1 venue · 10 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Wild Horse Nine89%
    • La Bola Negra86%
    • The Invite86%
    • The Debut83%
    • The Odyssey71%
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    Signals

    3 signals
    1. The Invite24h
      ▼ 9¢ in 24hkalshi
    2. All of a Sudden24h
      ▼ 9¢ in 24hkalshi
    3. La Bola Negra24h
      ▼ 8¢ in 24hkalshi

    Every outcome, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Wild Horse Nine$0 vol89%▼ 7kalshi97¢98¢ after fees
    La Bola Negra$645 vol86%▼ 8kalshi94¢95¢ after fees
    The Invite$200 vol86%▼ 9kalshi95¢96¢ after fees
    The Debut$1.1K vol83%▼ 8kalshi92¢93¢ after fees
    The Odyssey$205 vol71%▼ 8kalshi80¢82¢ after fees
    All of a Sudden$207 vol31%▼ 9kalshi41¢43¢ after fees
    Project Hail Mary$147 vol24%▼ 8kalshi33¢35¢ after fees
    Elsinore$0 vol21%▼ 8kalshi30¢32¢ after fees
    Fjord$400 vol16%▼ 8kalshi25¢27¢ after fees
    Possible Love$0 vol16%▼ 8kalshi25¢27¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Wild Horse Nine is on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗

    About this market

    The Golden Globe Awards are presented annually by Dick Clark Productions. For the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards, nominations are scheduled for December 7, 2026, and the ceremony for January 10, 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed film is nominated for Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are announced by January 10, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be the official Golden Globes website (https://www.goldenglobes.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Wed, December 9, 2026
    kalshiCompared across 1 venue

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