Movies

    Golden Globes 2027: Best Motion Picture – Drama Winner

    The Odyssey leads by 25 pts · 4 outcomes at 5%+

    1. The Odyssey#157%
    2. La Bola Negra#232%
    3. Dune: Part Three#38%
    #4 Elsinore6%#5 Wildwood4%+9 more
    Resolves
    Jan 10, 2027
    Volume
    $39.1K
    24h
    $237
    Liquidity
    $11.4K
    Outcomes
    14
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2 venues · 14 markets

    Who’s winning

    • The Odyssey57%
    • La Bola Negra32%
    • Dune: Part Three8%
    • Elsinore6%
    • Wildwood4%
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    Signals

    5 signals
    1. The Odyssey24h
      ▼ 13¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi
    2. La Bola Negra24h
      ▲ 7¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi
    3. Dune: Part Three24h
      ▼ 5¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    4. The Odyssey24h
      9¢ apart across venuesPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi
    5. La Bola Negra24h
      5¢ apart across venuesPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi

    Every outcome, every venue

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    The Odyssey$3.5K vol · 9¢ apart57%▼ 13kalshi61¢63¢ after fees
    La Bola Negra$14.2K vol · 5¢ apart32%▲ 7kalshi37¢39¢ after fees
    Dune: Part Three$1.7K vol8%▼ 5kalshi11¢12¢ after fees
    Elsinore$1.9K vol6%▲ 4kalshi10¢11¢ after fees
    Wildwood$2.2K vol · 4¢ apart4%▼ 2kalshi6¢7¢ after fees
    Possible Love$1.5K vol3%▼ 1kalshi2¢3¢ after fees
    Obsession$1.7K vol3%▼ 1kalshi2¢3¢ after fees
    Michael$1.5K vol3%▼ 1kalshi2¢3¢ after fees
    Woman Unknown$1.5K vol3%▼ 1kalshi2¢3¢ after fees
    I Play Rocky$2.3K vol3%▼ 1kalshi3¢4¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Kalshi
    • Consensus

    Same outcome, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If The Odyssey wins a Golden Globe for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    The Golden Globe Awards are presented annually by Dick Clark Productions. For the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards, nominations are scheduled for December 7, 2026, and the ceremony for January 10, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards. In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    The Golden Globe Awards are presented annually by Dick Clark Productions. For the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards, nominations are scheduled for December 7, 2026, and the ceremony for January 10, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards. In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the Golden Globe Awards and the official Golden Globes website (https://www.goldenglobes.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Sun, January 10, 2027
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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