Celebrities

    Golden Globes 2027: Best Actress – Musical or Comedy Winner

    Julianne Moore leads by 72 pts · 11 outcomes at 5%+

    1. Julianne Moore#179%
    2. Marion Bailey#27%
    3. Natalie Portman#37%
    #4 Inde Navarrette7%#5 Anne Hathaway7%+8 more
    Resolves
    Jan 10, 2027
    Volume
    $37.0K
    24h
    $519
    Liquidity
    $13.8K
    Outcomes
    13
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2 venues · 13 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Julianne Moore79%
    • Marion Bailey7%
    • Natalie Portman7%
    • Inde Navarrette7%
    • Anne Hathaway7%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    3 signals
    1. Olivia Wilde24h
      ▼ 5¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    2. Olivia Colman24h
      ▼ 5¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    3. Zendaya24h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every outcome, every venue

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Julianne Moore$14.4K vol79%▲ 1kalshi82¢84¢ after fees
    Marion Bailey$1.7K vol7%▼ 3kalshi2¢3¢ after fees
    Natalie Portman$1.7K vol7%▼ 1kalshi1¢2¢ after fees
    Inde Navarrette$2.0K vol7%▼ 2kalshi10¢11¢ after fees
    Anne Hathaway$1.9K vol7%▼ 2kalshi4¢5¢ after fees
    Olivia Wilde$1.8K vol7%▼ 5kalshi10¢11¢ after fees
    Zendaya$1.8K vol7%▼ 4kalshi7¢8¢ after fees
    Meryl Streep$1.7K vol7%▼ 4kalshi7¢8¢ after fees
    Jodie Comer$1.9K vol7%▼ 1kalshi2¢3¢ after fees
    Rachel McAdams$1.8K vol6%▲ 2kalshi7¢8¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Inde Navarrette3¢buy kalshi
    • Julianne Moore2¢buy kalshi
    • Kalshi
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Consensus

    Same outcome, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Julianne Moore wins a Golden Globe for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    The Golden Globe Awards are presented annually by Dick Clark Productions. For the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards, nominations are scheduled for December 7, 2026, and the ceremony for January 10, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed person who wins Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards. In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    The Golden Globe Awards are presented annually by Dick Clark Productions. For the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards, nominations are scheduled for December 7, 2026, and the ceremony for January 10, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed person who wins Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards. In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated person whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the Golden Globe Awards and the official Golden Globes website (https://www.goldenglobes.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Sun, January 10, 2027
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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