Golden Globes 2027: Best Actress – Musical or Comedy Nominees

    Julianne Moore leads by 6 pts · 12 outcomes at 5%+

    1. Julianne Moore#198%
    2. Olivia Wilde#292%
    3. Inde Navarrette#388%
    Resolves
    Dec 9, 2026
    Volume
    $8.5K
    24h
    $5
    Liquidity
    $212
    Outcomes
    12
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2 venues · 12 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Julianne Moore98%
    • Olivia Wilde92%
    • Inde Navarrette88%
    • Zendaya78%
    • Olivia Colman71%
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    Signals

    5 signals
    1. Olivia Colman24h
      ▼ 10¢ in 24hkalshi
    2. Natalie Portman24h
      ▼ 9¢ in 24hkalshi
    3. Inde Navarrette24h
      ▼ 8¢ in 24hkalshi
    4. Rachel McAdams24h
      8¢ apart across venueskalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    5. Olivia Wilde24h
      6¢ apart across venuesPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi

    Every outcome, every venue

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Julianne Moore$3.7K vol98%——
    Olivia Wilde$200 vol · 6¢ apart92%▼ 4kalshi98¢99¢ after fees
    Inde Navarrette$14 vol88%▼ 8kalshi96¢97¢ after fees
    Zendaya$26 vol78%▼ 4kalshi84¢85¢ after fees
    Olivia Colman$864 vol71%▼ 10kalshi79¢81¢ after fees
    Marion Bailey$673 vol48%▼ 6kalshi55¢57¢ after fees
    Meryl Streep$2.6K vol34%▼ 8kalshi43¢45¢ after fees
    Rosalind Eleazar$266 vol16%▼ 8kalshi25¢27¢ after fees
    Natalie Portman$0 vol15%▼ 9kalshi25¢27¢ after fees
    Anne Hathaway$0 vol11%▼ 8kalshi20¢22¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Rachel McAdams8¢buy kalshi
    • Olivia Wilde6¢buy kalshi
    • Kalshi
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Consensus

    Same outcome, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Julianne Moore is on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    The Golden Globe Awards are presented annually by Dick Clark Productions. For the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards, nominations are scheduled for December 7, 2026, and the ceremony for January 10, 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person is nominated for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, fo…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    The Golden Globe Awards are presented annually by Dick Clark Productions. For the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards, nominations are scheduled for December 7, 2026, and the ceremony for January 10, 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person is nominated for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are announced by January 10, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be the official Golden Globes website (https://www.goldenglobes.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Wed, December 9, 2026
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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