Movies

    Golden Globes 2027: Best Actor – Television Drama Nominees

    Noah Wyle leads by 3 pts · 9 outcomes at 5%+

    1. Noah Wyle#192%
    2. Sterling K. Brown#289%
    3. Gary Oldman#388%
    #4 Rufus Sewell88%#5 Peter Claffey55%+4 more
    Resolves
    Dec 9, 2026
    Volume
    $13.6K
    24h
    $0
    Liquidity
    $141
    Outcomes
    9
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2 venues · 9 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Noah Wyle92%
    • Sterling K. Brown89%
    • Gary Oldman88%
    • Rufus Sewell88%
    • Peter Claffey55%
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    Signals

    4 signals
    1. Peter Claffey24h
      ▼ 9¢ in 24hkalshi
    2. Rufus Sewell24h
      ▼ 8¢ in 24hkalshi
    3. Tom Hiddleston24h
      ▼ 8¢ in 24hkalshi
    4. Billy Crudup24h
      4¢ apart across venueskalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every outcome, every venue

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Noah Wyle$0 vol92%▼ 6kalshi98¢99¢ after fees
    Sterling K. Brown$0 vol89%▼ 7kalshi97¢98¢ after fees
    Gary Oldman$3.5K vol88%▼ 7kalshi96¢97¢ after fees
    Rufus Sewell$205 vol88%▼ 8kalshi96¢97¢ after fees
    Peter Claffey$0 vol55%▼ 9kalshi65¢67¢ after fees
    Tom Hiddleston$4.3K vol24%▼ 8kalshi33¢35¢ after fees
    Walton Goggins$4.6K vol18%▼ 2kalshi24¢26¢ after fees
    Billy Crudup$986 vol · 4¢ apart10%▼ 2kalshi11¢12¢ after fees
    Joel Edgerton$0 vol8%▼ 6kalshi15¢16¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Kalshi
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Consensus

    Same outcome, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Noah Wyle is on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    The Golden Globe Awards are presented annually by Dick Clark Productions. For the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards, nominations are scheduled for December 7, 2026, and the ceremony for January 10, 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person is nominated for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for any reaso…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    The Golden Globe Awards are presented annually by Dick Clark Productions. For the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards, nominations are scheduled for December 7, 2026, and the ceremony for January 10, 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person is nominated for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are announced by January 10, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be the official Golden Globes website (https://www.goldenglobes.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Wed, December 9, 2026
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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