Celebrities

    Golden Globes 2027: Best Actor – Musical or Comedy Nominees

    John Malkovich leads by 6 pts · 11 outcomes at 5%+

    1. John Malkovich#193%
    2. Tom Cruise#287%
    3. Seth Rogen#383%
    #4 Ryan Gosling80%#5 Anthony Ippolito73%+8 more
    Resolves
    Dec 9, 2026
    Volume
    $16.3K
    24h
    $358
    Liquidity
    $583
    Outcomes
    13
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2 venues · 13 markets

    Who’s winning

    • John Malkovich93%
    • Tom Cruise87%
    • Seth Rogen83%
    • Ryan Gosling80%
    • Anthony Ippolito73%
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    Signals

    5 signals
    1. Brad Pitt24h
      ▼ 22¢ in 24hkalshi
    2. Robert Pattinson24h
      ▼ 13¢ in 24hkalshi
    3. Pedro Pascal24h
      ▼ 8¢ in 24hkalshi
    4. Ryan Gosling24h
      8¢ apart across venuesPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi
    5. Tom Cruise24h
      5¢ apart across venuesPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi

    Every outcome, every venue

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    John Malkovich$791 vol93%▲ 2kalshi97¢98¢ after fees
    Tom Cruise$1.6K vol · 5¢ apart87%▼ 5kalshi95¢96¢ after fees
    Seth Rogen$696 vol83%▼ 6kalshi90¢91¢ after fees
    Ryan Gosling$1.8K vol · 8¢ apart80%▲ 1kalshi88¢89¢ after fees
    Anthony Ippolito$2.7K vol73%▼ 7kalshi81¢83¢ after fees
    Yura Borisov$161 vol44%▼ 2kalshi49¢51¢ after fees
    Robert Pattinson$1.1K vol39%▼ 13kalshi47¢49¢ after fees
    Dominic Sessa$91 vol24%▼ 7kalshi33¢35¢ after fees
    Brad Pitt$1.5K vol19%▼ 22kalshi27¢29¢ after fees
    Harry Melling$91 vol · 4¢ apart9%▼ 3kalshi11¢12¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Kalshi
    • Consensus

    Same outcome, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If John Malkovich is on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    The Golden Globe Awards are presented annually by Dick Clark Productions. For the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards, nominations are scheduled for December 7, 2026, and the ceremony for January 10, 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person is nominated for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    The Golden Globe Awards are presented annually by Dick Clark Productions. For the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards, nominations are scheduled for December 7, 2026, and the ceremony for January 10, 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person is nominated for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are announced by January 10, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be the official Golden Globes website (https://www.goldenglobes.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Wed, December 9, 2026
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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