Celebrities

    Golden Globes 2027: Best Actor – Drama Nominees

    Matt Damon leads by 6 pts · 14 outcomes at 5%+

    1. Matt Damon#193%
    2. Andrew Scott#287%
    3. Pedro Pascal#362%
    #4 Robert Pattinson60%#5 Sebastian Stan59%+9 more
    Resolves
    Dec 9, 2026
    Volume
    $5.4K
    24h
    $119
    Liquidity
    $312
    Outcomes
    14
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2 venues · 14 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Matt Damon93%
    • Andrew Scott87%
    • Pedro Pascal62%
    • Robert Pattinson60%
    • Sebastian Stan59%
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    Signals

    5 signals
    1. Robert Pattinson24h
      ▼ 25¢ in 24hkalshi
    2. Ryan Gosling24h
      ▼ 18¢ in 24hkalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    3. Sul Kyung-gu24h
      ▼ 10¢ in 24hkalshi
    4. Ryan Gosling24h
      13¢ apart across venueskalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    5. Guitarricadelafuente24h
      8¢ apart across venueskalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every outcome, every venue

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Matt Damon$28 vol93%▼ 1kalshi98¢99¢ after fees
    Andrew Scott$663 vol87%▼ 7kalshi95¢96¢ after fees
    Pedro Pascal$603 vol62%▼ 4kalshi68¢70¢ after fees
    Robert Pattinson$272 vol60%▼ 25kalshi66¢68¢ after fees
    Sebastian Stan$38 vol59%▼ 9kalshi68¢70¢ after fees
    Jordan Firstman$76 vol53%▼ 6kalshi61¢63¢ after fees
    Jaafar Jackson$1.5K vol · 5¢ apart37%▼ 4kalshi41¢43¢ after fees
    Timothée Chalamet$23 vol19%▼ 7kalshi28¢30¢ after fees
    Robert Aramayo$180 vol16%▼ 7kalshi25¢27¢ after fees
    Sul Kyung-gu$133 vol12%▼ 10kalshi21¢23¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Ryan Gosling13¢buy kalshi
    • Guitarricadelafuente8¢buy kalshi
    • Jaafar Jackson5¢buy kalshi
    • Matt Damon3¢buy kalshi
    • Kalshi
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Consensus

    Same outcome, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Matt Damon is on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    The Golden Globe Awards are presented annually by Dick Clark Productions. For the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards, nominations are scheduled for December 7, 2026, and the ceremony for January 10, 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person is nominated for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for any reason,…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    The Golden Globe Awards are presented annually by Dick Clark Productions. For the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards, nominations are scheduled for December 7, 2026, and the ceremony for January 10, 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person is nominated for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are announced by January 10, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be the official Golden Globes website (https://www.goldenglobes.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Wed, December 9, 2026
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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