Movies

    Golden Globes 2027: Best Actress – Limited Series Winner

    Florence Pugh leads by 50 pts · 5 outcomes at 5%+

    1. Florence Pugh#157%
    2. Sarah Pidgeon#27%
    3. Ella Beatty#37%
    #4 Carey Mulligan7%#5 Sally Field5%+6 more
    Resolves
    Jan 10, 2027
    Volume
    $30.3K
    24h
    $1.9K
    Liquidity
    $3.2K
    Outcomes
    11
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2 venues · 11 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Florence Pugh57%
    • Sarah Pidgeon7%
    • Ella Beatty7%
    • Carey Mulligan7%
    • Sally Field5%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    4 signals
    1. Sally Field24h
      ▼ 37¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    2. Florence Pugh24h
      ▲ 20¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi
    3. Carey Mulligan24h
      ▼ 12¢ in 24hkalshi
    4. Florence Pugh24h
      23¢ apart across venuesPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi

    Every outcome, every venue

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Florence Pugh$9.6K vol · 23¢ apart57%▲ 20kalshi76¢78¢ after fees
    Sarah Pidgeon$814 vol7%▼ 4kalshi12¢13¢ after fees
    Ella Beatty$1.6K vol7%—kalshi12¢13¢ after fees
    Carey Mulligan$793 vol7%▼ 12kalshi12¢13¢ after fees
    Sally Field$2.5K vol5%▼ 37Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US9¢9¢ after fees
    Tie$7.5K vol3%▼ 2kalshi5¢6¢ after fees
    Linda Cardellini$1.6K vol2%▼ 2kalshi3¢4¢ after fees
    Tessa Thompson$1.6K vol2%▼ 1kalshi3¢4¢ after fees
    Rebecca Hall$1.6K vol2%▼ 2kalshi3¢4¢ after fees
    Odessa A’zion$993 vol1%▼ 1kalshi2¢3¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Florence Pugh23¢buy kalshi
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Kalshi
    • Consensus

    Same outcome, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Florence Pugh wins a Golden Globe for Best Actress in a Limited Series at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    The Golden Globe Awards are presented annually by Dick Clark Productions. For the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards, nominations are scheduled for December 7, 2026, and the ceremony for January 10, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed person who wins Best Actress in a Limited Series, Anthology Series, or Motion Picture Made for Television at the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards. In case of a tie for…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    The Golden Globe Awards are presented annually by Dick Clark Productions. For the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards, nominations are scheduled for December 7, 2026, and the ceremony for January 10, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed person who wins Best Actress in a Limited Series, Anthology Series, or Motion Picture Made for Television at the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards. In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated person whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the Golden Globe Awards and the official Golden Globes website (https://www.goldenglobes.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Sun, January 10, 2027
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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