Movies

    Golden Globes 2027: Best Motion Picture – Drama Nominees

    The Odyssey and La Bola Negra are level · 13 outcomes at 5%+

    1. The Odyssey#195%
    2. La Bola Negra#295%
    3. Dune: Part Three#380%
    #4 Elsinore77%#5 All of a Sudden74%+8 more
    Resolves
    Dec 21, 2026
    Volume
    $12.7K
    24h
    $756
    Liquidity
    $521
    Outcomes
    13
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket US3 venues · 13 markets

    Who’s winning

    • The Odyssey95%
    • La Bola Negra95%
    • Dune: Part Three80%
    • Elsinore77%
    • All of a Sudden74%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    4 signals
    1. Obsession24h
      ▼ 11¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi
    2. Michael24h
      ▲ 10¢ in 24hkalshi
    3. Dune: Part Three24h
      ▼ 9¢ in 24hkalshi
    4. Obsession24h
      8¢ apart across venuesPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi

    Every outcome, every venue

    3 venues
    ChanceBest
    The Odyssey$2.7K vol95%▼ 2kalshi99¢100¢ after fees
    La Bola Negra$2.0K vol95%▼ 3kalshi98¢99¢ after fees
    Dune: Part Three$0 vol80%▼ 9kalshi89¢90¢ after fees
    Elsinore$915 vol77%▼ 6kalshi83¢84¢ after fees
    All of a Sudden$1.1K vol74%▼ 7kalshi83¢84¢ after fees
    Possible Love$2.2K vol55%▼ 5kalshi64¢66¢ after fees
    Fjord$1.2K vol41%▼ 7kalshi48¢50¢ after fees
    Michael$770 vol21%▲ 10kalshi27¢29¢ after fees
    I Play Rocky$962 vol13%▼ 1kalshi16¢17¢ after fees
    Wildwood$38 vol10%▼ 6kalshi17¢18¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Kalshi
    • Consensus

    Same outcome, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If The Odyssey is on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    The Golden Globe Awards are presented annually by Dick Clark Productions. For the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards, nominations are scheduled for December 7, 2026, and the ceremony for January 10, 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed film is nominated for Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nomination…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    Polymarket USPolymarket US

    Golden Globe Nominees: Best Motion Picture Drama

    Full rules on Polymarket US ↗

    About this market

    The Golden Globe Awards are presented annually by Dick Clark Productions. For the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards, nominations are scheduled for December 7, 2026, and the ceremony for January 10, 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed film is nominated for Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are announced by January 10, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be the official Golden Globes website (https://www.goldenglobes.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Mon, December 21, 2026
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USCompared across 3 venues

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